Thursday, December 9, 2010

Pressure on Interest Rates

According to Freddie Mac, interest rates on 30-year fixed mortgages are currently averaging 4.61% as opposed to this time last week when rates were 4.46%. Moreover, while I am by no means an expert on mortgages and what drives rates, all I have heard in the last day or so is that current economic conditions dictate that rates will likely rise in the short term. In addition, historically, these rates are unprecedented, so it is naive to think we won't average higher rates over the long term.

What all this means is, for those of you who are timing a home purchase based on interest rates, now appears to be as good a time as any to purchase. This assumes that you are buying a property you intend to hold for at least a few years (minimum of 3-5 years, depending on the particulars). Historically, with transactional costs, it never made sense to buy a home that you were not going to occupy for at least 3 years in the first place.

As a side note, don't necessarily assume a slight rise in interest rates will hurt housing prices and further stagnate real estate transactions. In my opinion, the converse is more likely. The housing crisis has been ongoing for approximately 4 years. As a result of that fact alone, there is pent up demand. One major factor keeping buyers on the sidelines during the crisis has been the assumption that rates would further decline, or at minimum, would remain at these historic lows. Slightly higher rates may create a sense of urgency that has been lacking and be just the catalyst we need.